Jonathan Zhang's AP U.S. Government Blog

1. Who made up the "universe" or polling population of this particular poll? Bernie Sanders 2. If 25% of people say they are supporting Bernie Sanders and the sampling error is 4.8%, what is the actual range of Sanders's support? With quick maffs, I have arrived at 20.2 to 29.8 percent. 3. Using the margin of error, describe a possible scenario in which Sanders would not win, but still fits the polls data. Since Biden's range given with a 4.8% margin of error has some overlap with Bernie's, he could still win the state over Bernie. Polls are also really hard to judge accurately in Nevada. 4. What were the results found in earlier polls taken in Nevada this year? Previous polls such as the Sulffolk/USA Today/Fox News poll showed Biden winning. 5. What changes took place in Nevada's candidate selection after 2004? They went from going to primaries to caucuses and got moved earlier in the calendar. Also, due to this new change, previous caucus data is not ab...

1. What was Lt Colonol Alexander Vindman's job in the bureaucracy? He was director of European affairs at the National Security Council. He was detailed to the Defense Department after Trump's revenge. 2. What did Vindman testify during the impeachment investigation? Since Vindman listened to the phone call with Ukraine, he was able to testify that the contents of the call were inappropriate for the President. 3. What did the White House do to Vindman and his brother? Vindman was reassigned to Defense and his brother who was an NSC lawyer, was also reassigned. 4. How is the White House justifying this action? They are justifying the reassignments as shrinkage of the NSC staff. 5. Why does the author argue that this creates a danger for other civil servants? Now, officials will be less likely to speak out against Donald Trump due to his actions against Vindman after his acquittal. 6. What was Gordon Sondland's job in the Trump Administration?  Sondland was the amba...

1.What's the difference between Phase 1 and Phase 2 of the primary calendar? Phase 1 has the early 4 states that don't constitute many votes but dictate pace and the direction of the primary. Phase 2 is the shortest but half the delegates will be locked down. 2. Which four states get to vote first, separated roughly into one each week? Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina 3. There are few delegates available in these four states, why are the primaries so important? Since these are the first states, but not necessarily the most important, it can show how much support a candidate really has, and whether a candidate has the potential to win or will potentially drop out of the race. The results of the early caucuses are predictors. 4. How many delegates are available in Phase 2? 33% 5. Which regions are holding most of their primaries on Super Tuesday? California, Texas, Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Massachusetts, Maine, Vermont, Col...